Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 8.009412 8.936632 9.982398 11.260842 12.797760 14.607246 16.931531
2024-12-22 6.528756 7.706535 9.156375 11.115784 13.767138 17.347799 22.778887
2024-12-29 5.887430 7.221296 8.966928 11.507496 15.280620 21.005992 31.153888
2025-01-05 5.199109 6.532164 8.346224 11.119256 15.512646 22.777284 37.367203
2025-01-12 4.648845 5.944681 7.759998 10.640822 15.443787 23.969688 43.096791
2025-01-19 4.252182 5.520636 7.343019 10.332951 15.555868 25.475401 50.380821
2025-01-26 3.997054 5.268871 7.143300 10.326058 16.167842 28.123168 62.436051
2025-02-02 3.965003 5.335538 7.427462 11.155421 18.509758 35.394836 96.322076
2025-02-09 3.865023 5.286928 7.519274 11.659488 20.348948 42.512103 144.184715
2025-02-16 3.691542 5.107703 7.375596 11.704219 21.216214 47.559453 197.338229
2025-02-23 3.602537 5.053148 7.432466 12.136788 23.093486 56.971321 326.719068
2025-03-02 3.360210 4.733737 7.003903 11.543980 22.323807 56.948102 372.042859
2025-03-09 3.181454 4.523940 6.779769 11.405212 22.868605 63.067242 584.339245
2025-03-16 3.016448 4.328673 6.569840 11.281383 23.482593 70.525256 1061.981283
2025-03-23 2.938302 4.271504 6.602098 11.682916 25.737902 88.881779 4730.952482
2025-03-30 2.768766 4.045929 6.299549 11.285989 25.467028 93.685471 14300.156651
2025-04-06 2.603893 3.818461 5.975403 10.797001 24.777087 95.436740 59864.397610
2025-04-13 2.473553 3.643558 5.738308 10.482458 24.586520 100.743551 NaN
2025-04-20 2.388686 3.543060 5.636210 10.475417 25.452286 115.884236 NaN
2025-04-27 2.398858 3.610502 5.867420 11.322963 29.801943 177.510160 NaN
2025-05-04 2.371634 3.608404 5.959019 11.838413 33.249957 255.958782 NaN
2025-05-11 2.303291 3.526567 5.879133 11.884165 34.750575 320.702906 NaN
2025-05-18 2.272428 3.512080 5.938627 12.326714 38.416577 494.493669 NaN